The need to change the rate at which health care costs increase (“Bending the Curve”) is axiomatic in the health reform debate. According to the President, Orszag at OMB, Hackbarth at MedPAC, and others, primary tools for this change are payment system changes. While the testimony that has been given in this regard is useful directionally,  the organizations and systems thus far identified are largely at a gestational stage and we do not know whether they are far reaching enough to “move the needle” much less “bend the curve”.

Seemingly the most fully developed of these notions is the proposal to bundle payment for the majority of facility services occurring within 30 days of a discharge into the DRG. The need for such a proposal was recently revalidated in a New Journal of Medicine article identifying the frequency and high cost of hospital readmissions. Moreover, the CBO and the President’s budget have at least put savings estimates around this program. These estimates are substantial but do not, by themselves, bend the curve materially.

Other emerging notions of delivery system innovation to bend the curve include “bonus eligible organizations” and “accountable health organizations”. These innovations return us to familiar, but largely abandoned in practice, managed care territory -- incentivization of physicians outside a group practice setting. Of course the success of such programs will depend on the strength of the incentive and that strength (as we learned in IPA model managed care) will be affected by the size of bonus or withhold, the timing of its payment, whether the data is believable and whether the opportunity to collect it is perceived by the physician to be real. Also, the real savings these organizations might achieve will be in lowering the “preference sensitive” care that is subject to wide geographic variations.

 

Full fledged capitation had potentially the strongest (most effective?) incentives. However, “capitation” carries a lot of media and political baggage so the term is being studiously avoided.  That political reality is understandable.  However, before we count our budgetary savings, we need to be sure that the alternative methods of payment sufficiently change physician incentives before we can realistically expect to “bend the curve” and can fairly claim the budgetary savings such a change would bring.

Back to Health Law Advisor Blog

Search This Blog

Blog Editors

Authors

Related Services

Topics

Archives

Jump to Page

Subscribe

Sign up to receive an email notification when new Health Law Advisor posts are published:

Privacy Preference Center

When you visit any website, it may store or retrieve information on your browser, mostly in the form of cookies. This information might be about you, your preferences or your device and is mostly used to make the site work as you expect it to. The information does not usually directly identify you, but it can give you a more personalized web experience. Because we respect your right to privacy, you can choose not to allow some types of cookies. Click on the different category headings to find out more and change our default settings. However, blocking some types of cookies may impact your experience of the site and the services we are able to offer.

Strictly Necessary Cookies

These cookies are necessary for the website to function and cannot be switched off in our systems. They are usually only set in response to actions made by you which amount to a request for services, such as setting your privacy preferences, logging in or filling in forms. You can set your browser to block or alert you about these cookies, but some parts of the site will not then work. These cookies do not store any personally identifiable information.

Performance Cookies

These cookies allow us to count visits and traffic sources so we can measure and improve the performance of our site. They help us to know which pages are the most and least popular and see how visitors move around the site. All information these cookies collect is aggregated and therefore anonymous. If you do not allow these cookies we will not know when you have visited our site, and will not be able to monitor its performance.